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Crown Green Handicap

Andrew Charnock

Team: Carr Mill BDivision: Division 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

653

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

75

Matches Played

31

Wins

44

Losses

41%

Win Rate

9.5

Avg Win Margin

7.5

Avg Loss Margin

20-19

Home Record

11-25

Away Record

90%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
39 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/18/2026

A large recent sample: 39 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 41-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins31/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 75 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

17 May2 Aug23 May5 Sept10 Sept1 Jul19 May18 Aug-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
38%
score-0.23→contribution-0.09
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
9.3
score+0.21→contribution+0.05
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.7
score+0.06→contribution+0.01
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
50%
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Opponent Strength(10%)
721
score-0.57→contribution-0.06
Weighted Score-0.088
Sample Size Confidence
90%(39/41 matches)
Rating974 → shrunk 976→ adjusted 672
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)624
Recency Blend40% (39 recent matches)
Final Rating653
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

31W44L75 matches·41.3% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Carr Mill B2025–2026Division 330141646.7%
Parr Cons2023–2024Division 2, Division 32581732%
Parr Cons B2022Division 32091145%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/18/2026B MurphyH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 3
7/28/2026A CarrA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 3
7/21/2026Phil RayH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
7/14/2026Alastair OldfieldH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
7/8/2026Stanley TaylorH21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision 3
7/7/2026Dennis MussellA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
6/23/2026Ken GreenallA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
6/16/2026Steve BrownH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
6/10/2026Jack HardenA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
6/2/2026Barry CainH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
5/26/2026Ken BibbyA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 3
5/19/2026J ConultyH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
5/13/2026Steve RoseA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
4/28/2026Mark DuffyH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
4/21/2026Derek MercerA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
4/14/2026Paul BoltonH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
4/7/2026Julian CliffeA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
8/26/2025Bill MolyneuxA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
8/19/2025Alf ThomasH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 3
8/5/2025Malcolm WattersonH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 3
7/22/2025Steve BrackleyH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
7/1/2025John MayerH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 3
6/17/2025Howard PinningtonH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 3
6/11/2025John PyeA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
5/27/2025Tony FinnertyA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
5/20/2025John KerrH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
5/13/2025Craig PunshonA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
5/6/2025Paul DolanA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 3
4/22/2025David HullA21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 3
4/15/2025Paul BoltonH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
9/10/2024Neil FitzsimonA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
9/3/2024J LeachH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 2
8/6/2024Arthur RobinsonH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
7/30/2024Chris LeighA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
7/16/2024Steven ThomasA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 2
6/11/2024Stuart BrandA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
6/4/2024Eddie BrooksH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
5/21/2024John WrigleyH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
5/14/2024Ron BowersA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
9/13/2023Peter ScottA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 3
9/5/2023Dave AshcroftH21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision 3
8/22/2023Bernard RimmerH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
8/15/2023Colin StockleyH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
8/8/2023Ken FordA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
8/1/2023Roy BryanH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
7/11/2023R MorrisA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
7/4/2023Alan CrossH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
6/13/2023Harry SmithA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
6/6/2023Les RobertsA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
5/30/2023Tony FinnertyH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
5/23/2023Charlie McFarlaneA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
5/16/2023John BurrowsH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 3
5/2/2023Jim GoodeH4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 3
4/25/2023Steve BrackleyA21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision 3
4/18/2023Mike SmithH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
9/6/2022Charlie McFarlaneH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 3
8/30/2022Alex WallaceA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
8/23/2022Frank DennettH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
8/16/2022Martin JonesA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
8/9/2022John CorlessH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
8/2/2022Greg WinstanleyA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 3
7/26/2022Malcolm WattersonH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
7/19/2022Jonathan FenneyH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
7/13/2022Dave AshcroftA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
6/28/2022Colin StockleyA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
6/21/2022Mike SmithH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
6/14/2022Ken GreenallA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
6/7/2022Paul SandisonH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
5/31/2022H GreenhallA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
5/24/2022James HopkinsH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
5/17/2022Tom FrithA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
5/10/2022John PickavanceA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
5/3/2022Dave AthertonH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
4/19/2022George MontgomeryH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 3
4/12/2022Eric ThorleyA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

8

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
WLLLW
Last 1060% win rate↓ declining
WLLLWWLWWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Ken Greenall0220%6/23/2026
Paul Bolton11250%4/14/2026
Malcolm Watterson11250%8/5/2025
Steve Brackley11250%7/22/2025
Tony Finnerty11250%5/27/2025
Dave Ashcroft202100%9/5/2023
Colin Stockley11250%8/15/2023
Charlie McFarlane0220%5/23/2023
Mike Smith11250%4/18/2023
B Murphy101100%8/18/2026
Biggest Win
Stanley Taylor (+18)7/8/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Peter Scott (-18)9/13/2023
Best Season
202647% · 17 matches
Worst Season
202344% · 16 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
46% → 37%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
71975 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-20% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
31-4242% win rate

By Division

Division 330-36 (45%)
Division 21-8 (11%)
Division 211.1%
1W·8L·9 played
Division 345.5%
30W·36L·66 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Aug 18, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (4.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

15.0 (75 total)

Seasons

20222023202420252026